As we march forward in awards season, this week in particular is one of great importance and it’s hitting us with three big mallets in the form of Screen Actors Guild (announcing Wednesday January 7th under the stupid new name “The Actor Awards“), the Directors Guild of America (announcing Thursday January 8th), and the Producer’s Guild of America nominations (Friday January 9th). Now the Writers Guild Nominations aren’t expected until Tuesday, January 27th, after the Academy Award nominations, but at this point in the race, they shouldn’t be terribly hard to prognosticate, so why don’t we just lump them in with the rest?

A few notes about SAG (yes, I’m dead-naming until I’m specifically told not to anymore): they continue to be on Netflix this year and while that shouldn’t carry any weight towards nominations, I do wonder how much of Netflix’s contenders have been spotlit towards the voting body. Films like House of Dynamite and Jay Kelly may be in the hunt for the Ensemble nomination, aided by the older block of the acting membership. That said, do not underestimate (given the “influencer block”) how young certain individual nominations may steer. Jacob Elordi for Frankenstein seems like a good bet here, competing with another SAG-favorite Adam Sandler for Jay Kelly. His surprise win at the Critics’ Choice Awards definitely makes him a stronger contender for the coveted Oscar nomination and it’s hard to see him miss here. But that would mean a shock omission in the Supporting Actor category: potentially Paul Mescal or Sean Penn. On the female side, while Wicked did phenomenally well here last year, this will be the deciding factor on if Grande or Erivo can pull off the impossible consecutive nomination for playing the same roles. If not SAG, forget about it. But its own popularity has dwindled, with their votes being cast more likely by those in SAG who “don’t watch everything”. Much like last year, Supporting Actress is ripe for surprises. Last year, it was Monica Barbaro (who wound up with an Oscar nomination) and Jamie Lee Curtis (who thankfully did not). Emily Blunt is a huge favorite at SAG, getting in for performances you wouldn’t even expect, and if she does get in for The Smashing Machine, can she pull Dwayne Johnson in with her? If there’s one movie that isn’t directed by Paul Thomas Anderson that SAG is sure to love, it’s Sinners, which is the definition of great cast ensemble, with Jordan, Mosaku, Lindo, and even Caton all viable contenders, plus Stunt Ensemble.

With DGA, it’s clear they don’t respond to international films unless the film is a juggernaut contender like last year’s Emilia Perez with Jacques Audiard. It is a populist group, often nominating blockbuster-type directors or “safe film” choices like Greta Gerwig for Barbie or Joseph Kosinki for Top Gun: Maverick that the Academy Director’s Branch will inevitably give a side-eye to in favor of more unique and international choices. This year, with the lack of strong blockbuster contenders but a heavy mount of international choices, I do think the deviating DGA nominee will be Guillermo del Toro for his big-budget take on Frankenstein.

As for PGA, while they will acknowledge prestige films that don’t make a lot of money if they are fierce contenders otherwise, they do tend to trend towards films that either made a profit or were box office success stories. PGA is where you will see more inclusions of blockbusters or franchise films that just don’t make the Oscars cut (Deapool, Wakanda Forever, Glass Onion, Borat). While they can nominate international films, and have been more open to in the last few years, much like DGA, it’s best to keep the options at a minimum.

With WGA, films that for certain is ineligible (acc Park Chan-wook’s No Other Choice, Sorry Baby, Sentimental Value, The Secret Agent and Blue Moon. Outside of that, this is the only major Guild that will be announcing nominations after the Oscars, so any help with Oscar predictions, the WGA will not be.

Without further ado…

SCREEN ACTORS GUILD AWARD NOMINATION PREDICTIONS

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A CAST IN A MOTION PICTURE

“HAMNET”
“JAY KELLY”
“ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”
“MARTY SUPREME”
“SINNERS”

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

Timothee Chalamet in “MARTY SUPREME”
Leonardo DiCaprio in “ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”
Joel Edgerton in “TRAIN DREAMS”
Ethan Hawke in “BLUE MOON”
Michael B. Jordan in “SINNERS”

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

Jessie Buckley in “HAMNET”
Rose Byrne in “IF I HAD LEGS I’D KICK YOU”
Chase Infiniti in “ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”
Renate Reinsve in “SENTIMENTAL VALUE”
Emma Stone in “BUGONIA”

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Benicio del Toro in “ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”
Jacob Elordi in “FRANKENSTEIN”
Sean Penn in “ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”
Adam Sandler in “JAY KELLY”
Stellan Skarsgard in “SENTIMENTAL VALUE”

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Odessa A’Zion in “MARTY SUPREME”
Elle Fanning in “SENTIMENTAL VALUE”
Amy Madigan in “WEAPONS”
Wunmi Mosaku in “SINNERS”
Teyana Taylor in “ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A STUNT ENSEMBLE IN A MOTION PICTURE

“F1: THE MOVIE”
“MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE- THE FINAL RECKONING”
“ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”
“SUPERMAN”
“WICKED: FOR GOOD”

DIRECTORS GUILD AWARD NOMINATION PREDICTIONS

OUTSTANDING DIRECTORIAL ACHIEVEMENT IN THEATRICAL FEATURE FILM

Paul Thomas Anderson, “ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”
Ryan Coogler, “SINNERS”
Guillermo del Toro, “FRANKENSTEIN”
Josh Safdie, “MARTY SUPREME”
Chloe Zhao, “HAMNET”

OUTSTANDING DIRECTORIAL ACHIEVEMENT IN FIRST-TIME THEATRICAL FEATURE FILM

Akinola Davies, Jr., “MY FATHER’S SHADOW”
Harry Lighton, “PILLION”
Charlie Polinger, “THE PLAGUE”
Kristen Stewart, “THE CHRONOLOGY OF WATER”
Eva Victor, “SORRY, BABY”

PRODUCERS GUILD AWARD NOMINATION PREDICTIONS

DARRYL F. ZANUCK AWARD FOR OUTSTANDING PRODUCER OF THEATRICAL MOTION PICTURES

“F1: THE MOVIE”
“FRANKENSTEIN”
“HAMNET”
“IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT”
“MARTY SUPREME”
“ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”
“SENTIMENTAL VALUE”
“SINNERS”
“TRAIN DREAMS”
“WEAPONS”

OUTSTANDING PRODUCER OF ANIMATED THEATRICAL MOTION PICTURES

“ARCO”
“ELIO”
“KPOP DEMON HUNTERS”
“LITTLE AMELIE, OR THE CHARACTER OF RAIN”
“ZOOTOPIA 2”

WRITERS GUILD AWARD NOMINATION PREDICTIONS

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

“IF I HAD LEGS I’D KICK YOU” written by Mary Bronstein

“JAY KELLY” written by Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer
“MARTY SUPREME” written by Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie
“SINNERS” written by Ryan Coogler
“WEAPONS” written by Zach Cregger

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

“BUGONIA” written by Will Tracy
“FRANKENSTEIN” written by Guillermo del Toro
“HAMNET” written by Chloe Zhao & Maggie O’Farrell
“ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER” written by Paul Thomas Anderson
“TRAIN DREAMS” written by Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar

Thoughts? Predictions of your own? Comment below. Thanks for reading!