We are so close to the Oscars at this point, I can almost taste it, and it tastes like fumes because this season is so damn long. The pros to having a long wait between nominations and winners? Enough time to properly plan my Oscar Party menu and get my home in tip-top shape for guests. Cons? Face-melting stress, Oscar controversies, villain origin stories, still neck-deep in arguing for/about our faves while we’re already 2 months into the new year, with some movies we’ll be discussing for Oscars a year from now. It’s madness. It’s the internet. Anyways…

In terms of the major precursors left, we have two televised awards shows and two guild honors. With Globes, Indie Spirits, and Critics Choice out of the way, we’ve seen enough of who’s gaining steam, whose given odds-chances-boosting speeches, and can feel where the tide is coming in on our batch of 2025 films. (Television winner predictions will also be listed below but due to either clean sweeps or up-in-the-air guesses, commentary will be restricted to just the film races).

Starting with this Sunday…

BAFTA

Now, the most BAFTA thing BAFTA could do is give away a huge surge to Hamnet, a movie that is a strong contender on its own (Golden Globe Winner- Best Drama) but also BAFTA catnip, as well as just all-around a huge success in the UK. It’s definitely winning Best British Film in a cakewalk. That said, One Battle did perform fairly well overseas and got a ton of nominations. Perhaps because we live in a world where US politics are everybody’s problem, the British voting block can still feel the weight and importance of Anderson’s latest masterwork. Marty Supreme is incredibly well-liked here, getting even Odessa A’zion in Supporting Actress, so Timothee does finally have a shot to win Lead Actor, but do not count out Robert Aramayo for I Swear, a beloved movie with a powerhouse lead role. While the Best Casting honor has usually been in sync with an acting win, I may shift into predicting I Swear no matter what here no matter what, given it’d be a worthy representative win. Plus, I am predicting Aramayo to win the Rising Star Award. I also assume within this voting body that Sentimental Value will do well with wins for Stellan Skarsgard, International Film, and Original Screenplay (a win that Ryan Coogler will probably take everywhere else). It’s a sad trend that Black-led films often do poor with this voting branch, but it’s a real trend. Unless it can pull a few upsets in Supporting Actress or a tech category, we may just be looking at Sinners for an Original Score winner.

BEST FILM

“HAMNET”
“MARTY SUPREME”
**”ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”**
“SINNERS”
“SENTIMENTAL VALUE”

BEST DIRECTOR

**Paul Thomas Anderson – “ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”**
Ryan Coogler – “SINNERS”
Yorgos Lanthimos – “BUGONIA”
Josh Safdie – “MARTY SUPREME”
Joachim Trier – “SENTIMENTAL VALUE”
Chloe Zhao – “HAMNET”

BEST BRITISH FILM

“28 YEARS LATER”
“THE BALLAD OF WALLIS ISLAND”
“BRIDGET JONES: MAD ABOUT THE BOY”
“DIE MY LOVE”
“H IS FOR HAWK”
**”HAMNET”**
“I SWEAR”
“MR. BURTON”
“PILLION”
“STEVE”

BEST DEBUT BRITISH FILM

“THE CEREMONY”
“MY FATHER’S SHADOW”
**”PILLION”**
“A WANT IN HER”
“WASTEMAN”

BEST LEAD ACTOR

Robert Aramayo – “I SWEAR”
**Timothee Chalamet – “MARTY SUPREME”**
Leonardo DiCaprio – “ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”
Ethan Hawke – “BLUE MOON”
Michael B. Jordan – “SINNERS”
Jesse Plemons – “BUGONIA”

BEST LEAD ACTRESS

**Jessie Buckley – “HAMNET”**
Rose Byrne – “IF I HAD LEGS, I’D KICK YOU”
Kate Hudson – “SONG SUNG BLUE”
Chase Infiniti – “ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”
Renate Reinsve – “SENTIMENTAL VALUE”
Emma Stone – “BUGONIA”

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Benicio del Toro – “ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”
Jacob Elordi – “FRANKENSTEIN”
Paul Mescal – “HAMNET”
Peter Mullan – “I SWEAR”
Sean Penn – “ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”
**Stellan Skarsgard – “SENTIMENTAL VALUE”**

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Odessa A’Zion – “MARTY SUPREME”
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas – “SENTIMENTAL VALUE”
Wunmi Mosaku – “SINNERS”
Carey Mulligan – “THE BALLAD OF WALLIS ISLAND”
**Teyana Taylor – “ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”**
Emily Watson – “HAMNET”

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
“I SWEAR”
“MARTY SUPREME”
“THE SECRET AGENT”
**”SENTIMENTAL VALUE”**
“SINNERS”

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

“THE BALLAD OF WALLIS ISLAND”
“BUGONIA”
“HAMNET”
“PILLION”
**”ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”**

BEST ANIMATED FILM

“ELIO”
“LITTLE AMELIE, OR THE CHARACTER OF RAIN”
**”ZOOTROPOLIS 2″**

BEST FILM NOT IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE

“IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT”
“THE SECRET AGENT”
**”SENTIMENTAL VALUE”**
“SIRAT”
“THE VOICE OF HIND RAJAB”

BEST DOCUMENTARY

“2000 METERS TO ANDRIIVKA”
“APOCALYPSE IN THE TROPICS”
“COVER-UP”
“MR. NOBODY AGAINST PUTIN”
**”THE PERFECT NEIGHBOR”**

BEST CASTING

**”I SWEAR”**
“MARTY SUPREME”
“ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”
“SENTIMENTAL VALUE”
“SINNERS”

BEST EDITING

“F1”
“A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE”
“MARTY SUPREME”
**”ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”**
“SINNERS”

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
“FRANKENSTEIN”
“MARTY SUPREME”
**”ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”**
“SINNERS”
“TRAIN DREAMS”

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

**”FRANKENSTEIN”**
“HAMNET”
“MARTY SUPREME”
“ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”
“SINNERS”

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

**”FRANKENSTEIN”**
“HAMNET”
“MARTY SUPREME”
“SINNERS”
“WICKED: FOR GOOD”

BEST MAKEUP & HAIR

**”FRANKENSTEIN”**
“HAMNET”
“MARTY SUPREME”
“SINNERS”
“WICKED: FOR GOOD”

BEST SPECIAL VISUAL EFFECTS

**”AVATAR: FIRE & ASH”**
“F1”
“FRANKENSTEIN”
“HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON”
“THE LOST BUS”

BEST SOUND

**”F1″**
“FRANKENSTEIN”
“ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”
“SINNERS”
“WARFARE”

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

“BUGONIA”
“FRANKENSTEIN”
“HAMNET”
“ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”
**”SINNERS”**

BEST BRITISH SHORT FILM

“MAGID/ZAFAR”
**”NOSTALGIE”**
“TERENCE”
“THIS IS ENDOMETRIOSIS”
“WELCOME HOME FRECKLES”

BEST BRITISH SHORT ANIMATION

**”CARDBOARD”**
“SOLSTICE”
“TWO BLACK BOYS IN PARADISE”

BEST CHILDREN’ S & FAMILY FILM

“ARCO”
“BOONG”
“LILO & STITCH”
**”ZOOTROPOLIS 2″**

EE BAFTA RISING STAR AWARD

**ROBERT ARAMAYO**
MILES CATON
CHASE INFINITI
ARCHIE MADEKWE
POSY STERLING

The BAFTAs will announce their winners on February 22, 2026.

SAG (Actor Awards)

There is a world where because Timothee won here last year that someone like Michael B. Jordan could surprise in Actor in a Leading Role, enough for me to believe it really could happen. There’s never been a consecutive repeat winner in the category before and SAG loves Sinners (likely to win the Ensemble prize). Timothee may face his first big loss here, something that could allow for a little more competition going into the Oscars. It’s a gamble, but it’s one I’m willing to make. In fact, I believe Buckley may be the only actor definite to be consistent at the Oscars. I want to go ahead and predict Amy Madigan here, but I do think it’s too strange for One Battle to go home empty, so I’ll stick with Taylor. Skarsgard missing here means it’s anyone’s guess, but with Frankentstein‘s Ensemble nomination, this voting block will likely lean towards Elordi, unless Benicio del Toro can push through past his own costar, Sean Penn.

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A CAST IN A MOTION PICTURE

“FRANKENSTEIN”
“HAMNET”
“ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”
“MARTY SUPREME”
**“SINNERS”**

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

Timothee Chalamet in “MARTY SUPREME”
Leonardo DiCaprio in “ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”
Ethan Hawke in “BLUE MOON”
**Michael B. Jordan in “SINNERS”**
Jesse Plemons in “BUGONIA”

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

**Jessie Buckley in “HAMNET”**
Rose Byrne in “IF I HAD LEGS I’D KICK YOU”
Kate Hudson in “SONG SUNG BLUE”
Chase Infiniti in “ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”
Emma Stone in “BUGONIA”

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Miles Caton in “SINNERS”
Benicio del Toro in “ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”
**Jacob Elordi in “FRANKENSTEIN”**
Paul Mescal in “HAMNET”
Sean Penn in “ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Odessa A’Zion in “MARTY SUPREME”
Ariana Grande in “WICKED: FOR GOOD”
Amy Madigan in “WEAPONS”
Wunmi Mosaku in “SINNERS”
**Teyana Taylor in “ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”**

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A STUNT ENSEMBLE IN A MOTION PICTURE

“F1: THE MOVIE”
“FRANKENSTEIN”
**“MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE- THE FINAL RECKONING”**
“ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”
“SINNERS”

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY AN ENSEMBLE CAST IN A DRAMA SERIES

“THE DIPLOMAT”
“LANDMAN”
**”THE PITT”**
“SEVERANCE”
“THE WHITE LOTUS”

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY AN ENSEMBLE CAST IN A COMEDY SERIES

“ABBOTT ELEMENTARY”
“THE BEAR”
HACKS”
“ONLY MURDERS IN THE BUILDING”
**”THE STUDIO”**

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES

Sterling K. Brown in “PARADISE”
Billy Crudup in “THE MORNING SHOW”
Walton Goggins in “THE WHITE LOTUS”
Gary Oldman in “SLOW HORSES”
**Noah Wyle in “THE PITT”**

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES

Britt Lower in “SEVERANCE”
Parker Posey in “THE WHITE LOTUS”
Keri Russell in “THE DIPLOMAT”
**Rhea Seehorn in “PLURIBUS”**
Aimee Lou Wood in “THE WHITE LOTUS”

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES

Ike Barinholtz in “THE STUDIO”
Adam Brody in “NOBODY WANTS THIS”
Ted Danson in “A MAN ON THE INSIDE”
**Seth Rogen in “THE STUDIO”**
Martin Short in “ONLY MURDERS IN THE BUILDING”

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES

Kathryn Hahn in “THE STUDIO”
**Catherine O’Hara in “THE STUDIO”**
Jenna Ortega in “WEDNESDAY”
Jean Smart in “HACKS”
Kristen Wiig in “PALM ROYALE”

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A TELEVISION MOVIE OR LIMITED SERIES

Jason Bateman in “BLACK RABBIT”
**Owen Cooper in “ADOLESCENCE”**
Stephen Graham in “ADOLESCENCE”
Charlie Hunnam in “MONSTER: THE ED GEIN STORY”
Matthew Rhys in “THE BEAST IN ME”

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A TELEVISION MOVIE OR LIMITED SERIES

Claire Danes in “THE BEAST IN ME”
**Erin Doherty in “ADOLESCENCE”**
Sarah Snook in “ALL HER FAULT”
Christine Tremarco in “ADOLESCENCE”
Michelle Williams in “DYING FOR SEX”

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY AN STUNT ENSEMBLE CAST IN A SERIES

**”ANDOR”**
“LANDMAN”
“THE LAST OF US”
“SQUID GAME”
“STRANGER THINGS”

SAG (or the Actor Awards) will announce their winners on March 1, 2026.

PGA

After Anderson’s DGA win, this is absolutely One Battle’s to lose. However, being a film whose large budget prevented it from being totally profitable, perhaps the producers’ voting block may look to awarding a larger success in Sinners. They have the same preferential ballot that the Oscars use and if Sinners ends up being the choice here, it may be a nail-biter to predict Best Picture come March.

DARRYL F. ZANUCK AWARD FOR OUTSTANDING PRODUCER OF THEATRICAL MOTION PICTURES

“F1: THE MOVIE”
“FRANKENSTEIN”
“HAMNET”
“IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT”
“MARTY SUPREME”
**“ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER”**
“SENTIMENTAL VALUE”
“SINNERS”
“TRAIN DREAMS”
“WEAPONS”

OUTSTANDING PRODUCER OF ANIMATED THEATRICAL MOTION PICTURES

“ARCO”
“ELIO”
**“KPOP DEMON HUNTERS”**
“LITTLE AMELIE, OR THE CHARACTER OF RAIN”
“ZOOTOPIA 2”

OUTSTANDING PRODUCER OF DOCUMENTARY THEATRICAL MOTION PICTURES

“THE ALABAMA SOLUTION”
“COVER-UP”
“MR. NOBODY AGAINST PUTIN”
“MY MOM JAYNE”
“OCEAN WITH DAVID ATTENBOROUGH”
**”THE PERFECT NEIGHBOR”**
“THE TALE OF SILYAN”

NORMAN FELTON AWARD FOR OUTSTANDING PRODUCER OF EPISODIC TELEVISION, DRAMA

“ANDOR”
“THE DIPLOMAT”
**”THE PITT”**
“PLURIBUS”
“SEVERANCE”
“THE WHITE LOTUS”

NORMAN FELTON AWARD FOR OUTSTANDING PRODUCER OF EPISODIC TELEVISION, COMEDY

“THE BEAR”
“HACKS”
“ONLY MURDERS IN THE BUILDING”
“SOUTH PARK”
**”THE STUDIO”**

DAVID L. WOPER AWARD FOR OUTSTANDING PRODUCER OF EPISODIC TELEVISION, DRAMA

**”ADOLESCENCE”**
“THE BEAST IN ME”
“BLACK MIRROR”
“BLACK RABBIT”
“DYING FOR SEX”

OUTSTANDING PRODUCER OF STREAMED OR TELEVISED MOTION PICTURES

“BRIDGET JONES: MAD ABOUT THE BOY”
“THE GORGE”
“JOHN CANDY: I LIKE ME”
**”NONNAS”**
“MOUNTAINHEAD”

OUTSTANDING PRODUCER OF NON-FICTION TELEVISION

“AKA CHARLIE SHEEN”
“BILLY JOEL: AND SO IT GOES”
“MR. SCORSESE”
**”PEE WEE AS HIMSELF”**
“SNL50: BEYOND SATURDAY NIGHT”

OUTSTANDING PRODUCER OF GAME & COMPETITION TELEVISION

“THE AMAZING RACE”
“JEOPARDY!”
“RUPAUL’S DRAG RACE”
“TOP CHEF”
**”THE TRAITORS”**

OUTSTANDING PRODUCER OF LIVE ENTERTAINMENT, VARIETY, SKETCH, STANDUP, & TALK TELEVISION

“THE DAILY SHOW”
“JIMMY KIMMEL LIVE!”
“LAST WEEK TONIGHT WITH JOHN OLIVER”
“THE LATE SHOW WITH STEPHEN COLBERT”
**”SNL50: THE ANNIVERSARY SPECIAL”**

OUTSTANDING SPORTS PROGRAM

“100 FOOT WAVE”
“BIG DREAMS: THE LITTLE LEAGUE WORLD SERIES 2024”
“FORMULA 1: DRIVE TO SURVIVE”
**”HARD KNOCKS: TRAINING CAMP WITH BUFFALO BILLS”**
“SURF GIRLS: INTERNATIONAL”

OUTSTANDING CHILDREN’S PROGRAM

“LEGO STAR WARS: REBUILD THE GALAXY: PIECES OF THE PAST”
“PHINEAS AND FERB”
**”SESAME STREET”**
“SNOOPY PRESENTS: A SUMMER MUSICAL”
“SPONGEBOB SQUAREPANTS”

OUTSTANDING SHORT-FORM PROGRAM

**”ADOLESCENCE: THE MAKING OF ADOLESCENCE”**
“THE DAILY SHOW: DESI LYDIC FOXSPLAINS”
“HACKS: BIT BY BIT”
“OVERTIME WITH BILL MAHER”
“THE WHITE LOTUS: UNPACKING THE EPISODE”

PGA INNOVATION AWARD

“ASTEROID”
“BIG WAVE: NO ROOM FOR ERROR”
“D-DAY: THE CAMERA SOLDIER”
“TERRITORY”
**”THE WIZARD OF OZ AT SPHERE”**

The Producers Guild of America will announce their winners on February 26, 2026.

WGA

With many Original contenders ineligible, and the two frontrunners here represented, this should the easiest-to-predict awards on this list. Our two juggernauts: One Battle After Another (Adapted) and Sinners (Original).

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

“BLACK BAG”
“IF I HAD LEGS, I’D KICK YOU”
“MARTY SUPREME”
**”SINNERS”**
“WEAPONS”

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

“BUGONIA”
“FRANKENSTEIN”
“HAMNET”
**”ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER” **
“TRAIN DREAMS”

BEST DOCUMENTARY SCREENPLAY

**”2000 METERS TO ANDRIIVKA”**
“BECOMING LED ZEPPELIN”
“WHITE WITH FEAR”

BEST WRITING FOR A DRAMA SERIES

“ANDOR”
**”THE PITT”**
“PLURIBUS”
“SEVERANCE”
“THE WHITE LOTUS”

BEST WRITING FOR A COMEDY SERIES

“ABBOTT ELEMENTARY”
“THE CHAIR COMPANY”
“HACKS”
“THE REHEARSAL”
**”THE STUDIO”**

BEST WRITING FOR A NEW SERIES

“THE CHAIR COMPANY”
“THE PITT”
“PLURIBUS”
**”THE STUDIO”**
“TASK”

BEST WRITING FOR A LIMITED SERIES

“THE BEAST IN ME”
“BLACK RABBIT”
“DEATH BY LIGHTNING”
**”DYING FOR SEX”**
“SIRENS”

BEST WRITING, TV & NEW MEDIA MOTION PICTURES

“THE BEST YOU CAN”
**”DEEP COVER”**
“THE LIFE LIST”
“SWIPED”

BEST WRITING FOR AN ANIMATED PRODUCTION

“BOB’S BURGERS” – “Don’t Worry, Be Hoopy”
“FUTURAMA” – Scared Screenless”
“THE GREAT NORTH” – “It’s a Beef-derful Life”
“LONG STORY SHORT” – “Shira Can’t Cook”
**”THE SIMPSONS” – “Abe League of Their Moe”**
“THE SIMPSONS” – “Parahormonal Activity”

BEST WRITING, EPISODIC DRAMA

“FOREVER” – “Reunion”
“THE HANDMAID’S TALE” – “Execution”
“THE PITT” – “7:00AM”
“PLURIBUS” – “Charm Offensive”
**”PLURIBUS” – “Got Milk”**
“TASK” – “A Still Small Voice”

BEST WRITING, EPISODIC COMEDY

“THE BEAR” – “Worms”
“MO” – “A Call From God”
“POKER FACE” – The Sleazy Georgian”
“THE REHEARSAL” – “Pilot’s Code”
“THE RIGHTEOUS GEMSTONES” – “Prelude”
** “THE STUDIO” – “The Promotion” **

The Writers Guild of America will announce their winners on March 8, 2026.

Thoughts? Predictions of your own? Comment below. Thanks for reading!